Archive for August 7th, 2008

August 7, 2008

Live at YAF! — Day Three

Continued liveblogging of the Young America’s Foundation National Conservative Student Conference.

9 p.m. — Allen just said “there is no silver bullet for our energy problem. We need some silver buckshot.”

8:10 p.m. — The banquet entree is penne pasta with chicken in tomato sauce. My tablemates include YAF staffer Flagg Youngblood.

7:40 p.m. — Former Virginia Sen. George Allen will be the speaker at tonight’s banquet.

4:50 p.m. — Michael Graham just said the ones who really lost the primary were comedians — Hillary’s a much better target.

4:45 p.m. — Graham just referenced this interview:

4:35 p.m. — Speaking of Obama’s speech in Berlin: “Hey, if you can’t trust the German people to pick a strong leader . . .”

4:30 p.m. — Michael Graham: “I got the memo — that’s not comedy, that’s hate. . . . Everything you say about Barack Obama is hate.”

4:10 p.m. — Radio hosts Doug Giles and Michael Graham are preparing to discuss “advancing conservative ideas through humor.”

4:25 p.m. — Doug Giles is also a Christian evangelist, and has a very strong personal presence. He interacts with the audience, teasing with some of his friends Benny Johnson and Rachel Coolidge in the front row. Kidding with Jason Mattera about when they go out for beer and cigars — not exactly your stereotypical uptight preacher. “I found in Christ an example extraordinaire . . . if you read the scriptures straight, as I do my whiskey, you’ll see quickly that Jesus was no bearded lady.” He says when he goes to pastors’ conferences, he tells them, “Thou shalt not bore should be a commandment.”

2:40 p.m. — Princeton University professor Robert George is talking about natural law theory, and just told students that philosophy requires them to choose between “the Humean or the Aristotlean view” of human nature. (George is Aristotelean, I think.)

UPDATE: Kirby Wilbur is addressing the men’s luncheon. He addresses the tradition of chivalry, and says, “There’s not really much wrong with that old code. If we still lived by that, he world would be a better place.”

PREVIOUSLY:
This morning the panel on new media features YAF spokesman Jason Mattera, talk radio producer A.J. Rice, National Review Online editor Kathryn Jean Lopez, and Mary Katharine Ham of the Washington Examiner.

K-Lo recalls that when she attended NCSC about 15 years ago, “you could count the girls on one hand.”

UPDATE: MK just showed her notorious “Obama On My Shoulder” video and warned students that this song will “be in your head all day”:

Blogging of Day One and Day Two.

August 7, 2008

‘Electability’ returns

Resurrecting an argument from the Democratic primaries, Victor Davis Hanson says that Hillary Clinton would be the more electable candidate:

If the polls are right, a public tired of Republicans is beginning to think an increasingly bothersome Obama would be no better — and maybe a lot worse. . . .
In a tough year like this, Democrats could probably have defeated Republican John McCain with a flawed, but seasoned candidate like Hillary Clinton. But long-suffering liberals convinced their party to go with a messiah rather than a dependable nominee — and thereby they probably will get neither.

This is the real hope of the GOP this year: That liberals have once again demonstrated how smart they are by outsmarting themselves.

UPDATE: The question of whether Hillary is plotting something may answer itself, but the question of whether she should get a convention vote is still open to debate. Would it hurt Obama if her delegates should demonstrate their strength? Or would it hurt Obama worse if he appeared to be suppressing her supporters? Personally, I think Obama has nothing to fear from a roll call that he knows he would win. The imposition of a compulsory consensus makes the undemocratic nature of the process — with Obama essentially chosen by the “superdelegates” — too transparent.

August 7, 2008

WSJ wrong about the South

This is just wrong:

The party’s rising prospects point toward a once unthinkable goal: a reversal of the “Great Reversal,” the switch in political loyalties in the 1960s that made the South a Republican stronghold for a generation.

It was not until the 1990s that the GOP solidified its dominance in the South. While Republican presidents beginning with Eisenhower did well in the South, but that realignment didn’t trickle down to the state and local level until the ’90s. As recently as 1994, my native Georgia had two Democratic senators and only three Republican congressmen. It wasn’t until 2002 that Georgia elected its first Republican governor since Reconstruction.

Incorrectly placing this realignment in the 1960s is part of a myth promoted by liberals, as a way of falsely suggesting that Republicans succeeded in the South because of race and civil rights. In fact, the South didn’t become solidly Republican until two or three decades after the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

August 7, 2008

Poll Watch

Gallup: Obama 46%, McCain 43%
Rasmussen: Obama 47%, McCain 46%

Rasmussen has a note about undecided voters:

If the race for the White House remains close, the final decision may be rest in the hands of voters who are not yet paying attention to the campaign. Each night, Rasmussen Reports asks survey participants to let us know how closely they are following the election using a 9-point scale. People answering “9” say they are following the race “on a daily basis.” . . .
[A]mong the undecided voters, just 19% say they’re paying that much attention. On that nine-point scale, most undecided voters say their interest in the campaign is a “6” or less.

This goes to a basic point: Elections always boil down to independent “swing” voters, who pay less attention to politics — who are less informed — than partisans.

UPDATE: Rasmussen also reports the influence of TV news:

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Fox News viewers say they are likely to vote for John McCain, while those who watch CNN and MSNBC plan to support Barack Obama in November by more than two to one.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 65% of CNN voters plan to vote for the Democratic candidate versus 26% who intend to go for the Republican. Similarly, MSNBC watchers plan to vote for Obama over McCain 63% to 30%. …
Among those who get their information on the presidential campaign from local television, the new survey finds that the amount of time one watches impacts how they plan to vote. Those who watch local news every day support Obama over McCain 52% to 42%. But for those who say they watch several days a week but not every day, it’s McCain over Obama 50% to 43%.

Not surprising.

August 7, 2008

Racism: Name that party!

The New York Times:

In the culmination of a racially fraught Congressional campaign in Memphis, a black candidate is linking her liberal-leaning white primary opponent in Thursday’s contest, Representative Steve Cohen, to the Ku Klux Klan in a television advertisement. . . .
The advertisement for the challenger, Nikki Tinker, juxtaposes Mr. Cohen’s picture with that of a hooded Klansman, and criticizes Mr. Cohen for voting against renaming a park in Memphis currently named for the Confederate general Nathan Bedford Forrest, a Ku Klux Klan founder.
“This makes you wonder,” a black former county commissioner, Walter Bailey, says in the advertisement. “Who is the real Steve Cohen?”

Read the whole thing — 662 words and “Democrat” is not one of them.

UPDATE: Linked by Instapundit and Small Dead Animals — thanks! Meanwhile, we learn that Emily’s List and Keith Olbermann are shocked, shocked that a Democrat would resort to such tactics:

“We were shocked to see the recent ads run by the Nikki Tinker for Congress campaign. We believe the ads are offensive and divisive,” said Ellen Malcolm, the group’s director. “EMILY’s List does not condone or support these types of attacks.”
Those ads brought Tinker another blast when MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann named her tonight as his “Worst Person in the World,” a regular over-the-top satire on his program.

While smearing Republicans is still fair game, Democrats aren’t supposed to say such things about each other.

UPDATE II: Jammie Wearing Fool notices that a mayor of “unknown party affiliation” was sent to jail in Detroit.

August 7, 2008

Second-hand leftism

Routine plagiarism was editorial policy at an “alternative weekly” in Texas:

Like many alt weeklies, the paper’s bread-and-butter is politics, and from the spring of 2005 on, its political op-eds comprise an apparently unbroken sequence of pilfered prose. The Bulletin’s archives reveal a strong preference for the online magazine Salon — in particular, the punditry of Joe Conason and Sidney Blumenthal. Compiling a complete annotated list of articles would require the services of a half-dozen unpaid interns, so a few examples will have to suffice.

Plagiarizing Sidney Blumenthal? Talk about desperation.

August 7, 2008

Keira: OK to be flat

She refuses to get breast implants:

Twenty-three-year-old box-office babe Keira Knightley recently refused to have her boobs enhanced in publicity photos for her new movie “The Duchess.”
“She is proud of her body and doesn’t want it altered,” a source told Britain’s Daily Mail last week.

I’m with Bethan Cole: Fake boobs are unnatural. If Hollywood wants skinny movie stars, it can’t expect them to be both skinny and buxom.
August 7, 2008

New ad from Team Maverick

Keeping up the “celebrity” angle:

The message:

Is the biggest celebrity in the world ready to help your family?
The real Obama promises higher taxes, more government spending. So, fewer jobs.
Renewable energy to transform our economy, create jobs and energy independence, that’s John McCain.

Simple and direct, reinforcing basic themes.

August 7, 2008

Poll Watch: Obama +2

Gallup: Obama 46%, McCain 44%
Rasmussen: Obama 47%, McCain 46%

Time magazine sees “trouble” in its latest poll showing Obama leading 46%-41%:

[O]n specific issues, Obama is treading water or sinking a bit. On the number one issue of the campaign right now, the economy, Obama leads McCain 43%-39%, compared to 44%-37% reported by TIME’s poll in June. Despite his highly touted tour of Europe, the Middle East and Afghanistan last month, Obama may be in
something of a late summer slump. The poll shows that voters have increased
their faith in McCain’s ability to manage the Iraq war, favoring him over Obama by a margin of 51%-36%, a five point jump since June.

Note, of course, that Time describes bad news for Obama as “trouble”; bad news for McCain would be … Hope?