Archive for November 4th, 2008

November 4, 2008

Election Night results thread

8:43 p.m. — Fox News has called Pennsylvania for Obama, prompting Philip Klein to observe, “I don’t see how McCain can win.” Told you so.

8:35 p.m. — I’m blogging from the offices of the National Taxpayers Union in Alexandria, Va., where there is a party going on. Will update in a moment. Last time I checked, the Republican Party was still in existence, but that’s all that’s certain.

PREVIOUSLY: At this point, Drudge has up a line saying that exit polls in Pennsylvania show Obama +15. Doubt it will be that large, but remember that Rick Santorum lost by 18 points in 2006. And maybe the Panther security guards in Philly are having an effect.

I’m on my way to an Election Night event in Virginia and will be blogging from there beginning at 8 p.m.

November 4, 2008

Don’t Blame Me!

I voted for Bob Barr. Avoid the rush: Get your T-shirt now!

Also: Hoodies, tank tops, coffee mugs and more.

November 4, 2008

‘Regrets, I have a few …’

‘… but then again, too few to mention‘:

Asked if she had any regrets about the campaign, Palin bemoaned “the state of journalism today.”
“The blogosphere, the two, three hour news cycles, where just too much is reported based on gossip and innuendo and things taken out of context,” she explained, adding that she’d like to help improve the profession because she has “great respect for the world of journalism.”

Translation: “Roger Ailes, call me.”

(Cross-posted at AmSpecBlog.)

November 4, 2008

Vote Twice!

The irrepressible Jason Mattera:

Via Hot Air.

November 4, 2008

Cousin Mandy gets Hope?

My Cousin Mandy lives in Montgomery, Alabama. She’s a graduate of Jefferson Davis High School. She’s a GOTV volunteer for . . . Obama.

I keep telling people up here that at least half my family’s still Democrats, and it’s true. BTW, Cousin Mandy’s in show biz. You can see her at the end of this 30-second trailer. She’s the one who’s . . . uh, smokin’ . . .

November 4, 2008

Ready to riot

If McCain wins, good-bye, Toledo:

Toledo police are gearing up for possible “Civil unrest” during and after tomorrow’s elections.
In an internal memo obtained exclusively by NBC 24 News, officers are ordered to “Have their riot equipment with them Tuesday and Wednesday”. Police chief Mike Navarre confirms, officers will have gear similar to the equipment they used during the 2005 race riots. “They have been asked to have their helmets and their gas masks available tomorrow and Wednesday.”, Navarre says, “That’s the equipment they would not normally carry with them on a normal day”.

Beautiful. I’m reminded of Hunter S. Thompson’s Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail ’72:

The entire Fort Walton Beach police force is gripped in a state of fear this week; all leaves have been cancelled and Chief Bloor is said to be drilling his men for an Emergency Alert situation on Friday and Saturday night — because those are the nights when ‘Kazika, The Mad Jap,’ a 440-pound sadist from the vile slums of Hiroshima, is scheduled to make his first — and no doubt his last — appearance in Fish-head Auditorium. Local wrestling impressario Lionel Olay is known to have spoken privately with Chief Bloor, urging him to have ‘every available officer’ on duty at ringside this weekend, because of the Mad Jap’s legendary temper and his invariably savage reaction to racial insults. Last week, in Detroit, Kazika ran amok and tore the spleens out of three spectators, one of whom allegedly called him a ‘yellow devil’ . . .

I doubt there will be much rioting out here in rural Maryland or in Alexandria, Va., where I’ll be watching the deal go down tonight with friends at the National Taxpayers Union. But you never know . . .

November 4, 2008

Authors Against Obama update

In May, I formed Authors Against Obama, a group of professional writers outraged by the sweetheart deal Obama got on Dreams From My Father. A 28-year-old law student gets a book deal from Simon & Schuster, blows his deadline, then gets another deal (from Times Books) with a $40K advance to write a book about racial policy and instead delivers . . . a memoir. A freaking memoir!

Now we learn from Jack Cashill that there is evidence that Obama didn’t even write his own memoir. There are striking similarities of style and structure between Dreams of My Father and Bill Ayers’ 2001 book Fugitive Days.

Look, I’m way past the point of imagining that undecided swing voters give a damn about Bill Ayers. What I can’t understand is why working journalists and authors everywhere aren’t frothing mad at the very idea of a 28-year-old getting a Simon & Schuster contract, before he’d accomplished anything except getting admitted to Harvard Law, blowing that deal, getting another deal, and eventually taking five years to publish a book that appears to have been substantially ghost-written!

A memoir, for crying out loud! Who publishes a memoir at 33? No justice, no peace.

November 4, 2008

Dept. of Wishful Thinking

Ed Morrissey offers this Electoral College map as his GOP razor-thin miracle victory scenario:

God bless ya, Ed, but that’s just plain crazy. You’ve got Maverick winning Pennsylvania (RCP average Obama +7.6) while losing Virginia (RCP average Obama +4.3). You’ve got McCain a winner in Nevada (RCP average Obama +6.2) but losing Colorado (RCP average Obama +5.5). OK, maybe the polls are wrong, but why would they be so much more wrong in Nevada and Pennsylvania than in Colorado and Virginia?

Personally, I’d say it’s a lead-pipe cinch that Obama wins three out of four of those states. There is a slight chance for McCain in Virginia, but I emphasize “slight.” Pennsylvania? Gimme a break. Bush couldn’t beat the charisma-challenged John Kerry in Pennsylvania four years ago, and Rick Santorum got an 18-point drubbing in ’06. McCain hasn’t led Obama in a Pennsylvania poll since April, and Obama’s been outspending McCain 2-to-1 in advertising there.

If there is some undetected, inexplicable, last-minute shift that gives Pennsylvania to McCain, then he’ll win Virginia, too. And monkeys will fly out of my butt.

A McCain victory this year wouldn’t be just one miracle, it would require six miracles in different states. You’re not merely hoping that one or two polls are slightly off, but hoping that all the polls are off by 5, 6, 7 points.

Well, don’t worry. You can hope all you want, but you’re not going to be hoping for long. By 10 p.m., the blue tsunami will have crashed ashore, and you can stop living in political fairy-tale land with the magical leprechaun Sean Hannity.

UPDATE: Oh, this is classic. For weeks, Karl Rove has been on Fox News spinning miracle-comeback scenarios but, when push comes to shove and his credibility as a prognosticator is at stake, his final Electoral College map says Obama 338, McCain 200. Rove’s got Maverick losing Virginia and Pennsylvania, Colorado and Nevada, Florida and Ohio.

Given that Rove has an inside line with all the GOP operatives, he’d know about any secret internal polls showing a surprise upset, so the fact that his final bets are toward the high side for Obama means that the Republican insiders aren’t expecting a miracle.

November 4, 2008

Are you uplifted yet?